The Model

Elo rating system

Here at the Footycast we have adopted an adapted Elo rating system. we take an Occam's razor approach and strive for simplicity in my modelling.

Elo modelling is an attract scheme as there is only one parameter that determines a teams' ability; their Elo rating.

Our system takes 100 to be the average Elo rating, and teams' ratings change based on their expected performance against opponents after each round.

More detail to come...